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Tesla Exceeds Delivery Expectations: What’s Behind It?

Last week, Tesla released its electric vehicle delivery results for the third quarter of 2025, and the numbers surprised investors. The automaker managed to increase deliveries by 7% year-over-year to 497,099 vehicles, surpassing Wall Street expectations by more than 49,000 units. However, despite this, Tesla’s stock price fell by 5.11%* after the announcement, ultimately suggesting that the market is looking beyond the headline figure.

Tesla Exceeds Delivery Expectations: What’s Behind It?

Strong Deliveries, Weaker Production

As usual, the press release also included data on Tesla’s total production. It reached 447,450 vehicles, which represents a slight decrease compared to the third quarter of last year (469,796). Nevertheless, the company recorded a 7% increase in deliveries, making it one of the best quarters in recent periods. It is also important to mention the breakdown across models – the best-selling ones were the Model 3 and Model Y, which together accounted for the overwhelming majority of production – as many as 435,826 units.

tsla_us

Source: Trading Economics*

Regional Differences

On the other hand, Tesla continues to struggle with declining sales in Europe – partly due to growing competition from automakers such as Volkswagen and BYD, but also because of the negative perception of Elon Musk, whose political statements are generating increasingly polarized reactions. It is also worth noting that one possible reason for the increase in U.S. deliveries is the expiration of the federal tax credit, which likely motivated customers to buy an electric vehicle before September 30, 2025. This program subsequently ended as a result of the budget bill passed by the administration of Donald Trump.

Energy Division

While Tesla’s automotive division faces fluctuations in demand, Tesla Energy continues to grow rapidly. In the third quarter, the company deployed 12.5 GWh of energy storage systems, representing an 81% increase compared to the same period last year. Interestingly, among the main customers of Megapack and Megablock battery systems is xAI, another company owned by Elon Musk, focused on artificial intelligence development.

Stock Price Reaction and Outlook

After the release of these fundamental figures, investors naturally focused on the market’s reaction to Tesla’s stock price. During the trading day, the stock dropped by 5.11%, but it is important to view the situation more broadly. For the third quarter of 2025, Tesla’s stock rose by 40%, and since the beginning of the year, its value has increased by 14%. After a weak start to the year, the automaker is once again regaining investor confidence, but a stronger confirmation of a longer-term bullish sentiment could come after the quarterly earnings report on October 22, 2025. Investors will be closely watching profitability, especially in the context of rising production costs and the end of tax incentives in the U.S.*

*Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Disclaimer! This marketing material is not and must not be understood as investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investing in foreign currencies may affect returns due to fluctuations. All securities transactions may result in both profits and losses. Forward-looking statements represent assumptions and current expectations, which may not be accurate, or are based on the current economic environment, which may change. These statements do not guarantee future performance. InvestingFox is a trade name of CAPITAL MARKETS, o.c.p., a.s., regulated by the National Bank of Slovakia.

Sources:

https://ir.tesla.com/press-release/tesla-third-quarter-2025-production-deliveries-deployments
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/tesla-tsla-q3-2025-vehicle-delivery-production.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/10/trump-big-beautiful-bill-ends-7500-ev-tax-credit-time-to-buy-vehicle.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/15/teslas-stock-erases-loss-for-the-year-up-over-80percent-from-april-low.html

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